The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
APRIL 2007 KEY POINTS
Trend
The April 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (87 241) increased 0.7% when compared with the March 2007 estimate. This was the eleventh consecutive positive trend estimate. Compared to April 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.6%.
All vehicle types recorded increases. Other vehicle types and sports utility vehicles showed the largest increases from March 2007 to April 2007 (1.4% and 1.3% respectively) while passenger vehicles rose 0.3% over the same period.
All states and territories have shown increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles from the previous month. From March 2007 to April 2007, the Australian Capital Territory recorded the largest increase (1.9%) while all other states and territories increased between 0.3% and 0.8%.
Seasonally adjusted
The April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (86 111) decreased by 1.1% from March 2007. Sports utility vehicles increased by 4.3%, while passenger vehicles decreased by 3.1%. Other vehicle types remained stable.
From March 2007 to April 2007, three states or territories recorded increases. Western Australia rose 2.8%, the Northern Territory 2.0% and the Australian Capital Territory 1.3%. Victoria recorded the largest decrease (3.0%).
New motor vehicles sales April 2007
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 26 453 | 21 281 | 19 292 | 5 228 | 10 038 | 1 563 | 849 | 1 407 | 86 111 |
Trend | 26 655 | 21 924 | 19 494 | 5 310 | 9 998 | 1 602 | 844 | 1 414 | 87 241 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -0.9 | -3.0 | -1.5 | -1.0 | 2.8 | -2.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 | -1.1 |
Trend | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 9.5 | 3.3 | 11.0 | -1.0 | 13.4 | 3.2 | 14.0 | 18.1 | 8.0 |
Trend | 9.7 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 12.2 | 0.8 | 10.9 | 18.7 | 9.6 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
May 2007
June 2007
July 2007 | 20 June 2007
20 July 2007
22 August 2007 | |
August 2007 | 21 September 2007 | |
September 2007 | 19 October 2007 | |
October 2007 | 21 November 2007 | |
WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES
The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.
1 | The May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
2 | The May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
|
| | Passenger vehicles
(No.) | Sports
utility
vehicles
(No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles
(%) | Change sports
utility vehicles
(%) | Change other vehicles
(%) | Change
total
vehicles
(%) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | February | 48 483 | 13 506 | 15 457 | 77 446 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 10.6 |
| March | 53 188 | 15 896 | 18 072 | 87 156 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 16.9 | 12.5 |
| April | 42 307 | 11 901 | 14 442 | 68 650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 |
| May | 50 683 | 14 816 | 17 958 | 83 457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 |
| June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 |
| October | 50 532 | 13 921 | 15 477 | 79 930 | -1.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| November | 51 850 | 15 193 | 16 254 | 83 297 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| December | 48 348 | 14 258 | 14 457 | 77 063 | -6.8 | -6.2 | -11.1 | -7.5 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 49 189 | 14 303 | 13 444 | 76 936 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -7.0 | -0.2 |
| February | 52 628 | 14 912 | 16 200 | 83 740 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 20.5 | 8.8 |
| March | 57 757 | 17 589 | 19 046 | 94 392 | 9.7 | 18.0 | 17.6 | 12.7 |
| April | 45 109 | 14 274 | 16 231 | 75 614 | -21.9 | -18.8 | -14.8 | -19.9 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | February | 49 561 | 14 074 | 16 553 | 80 188 | -2.0 | -3.0 | -1.6 | -2.1 |
| March | 48 338 | 13 963 | 16 444 | 78 745 | -2.5 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -1.8 |
| April | 49 695 | 13 800 | 16 233 | 79 728 | 2.8 | -1.2 | -1.3 | 1.2 |
| May | 49 544 | 13 907 | 16 312 | 79 763 | -0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| June | 48 851 | 14 416 | 15 580 | 78 847 | -1.4 | 3.7 | -4.5 | -1.1 |
| July | 50 877 | 14 138 | 16 136 | 81 151 | 4.1 | -1.9 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| August | 50 204 | 13 110 | 15 942 | 79 256 | -1.3 | -7.3 | -1.2 | -2.3 |
| September | 50 960 | 14 554 | 15 967 | 81 481 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| October | 50 417 | 15 022 | 16 351 | 81 790 | -1.1 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| November | 50 364 | 14 868 | 16 122 | 81 354 | -0.1 | -1.0 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| December | 51 614 | 14 863 | 15 678 | 82 155 | 2.5 | -0.0 | -2.8 | 1.0 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 54 249 | 15 361 | 17 005 | 86 615 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 8.5 | 5.4 |
| February | 53 675 | 15 504 | 17 303 | 86 482 | -1.1 | 0.9 | 1.8 | -0.2 |
| March | 53 850 | 15 656 | 17 602 | 87 108 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| April | 52 184 | 16 322 | 17 605 | 86 111 | -3.1 | 4.3 | 0.0 | -1.1 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | February | 49 481 | 14 195 | 16 589 | 80 265 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| March | 49 333 | 14 105 | 16 451 | 79 889 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| April | 49 298 | 13 999 | 16 270 | 79 567 | -0.1 | -0.8 | -1.1 | -0.4 |
| May | 49 426 | 13 906 | 16 100 | 79 432 | 0.3 | -0.7 | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| June | 49 700 | 13 907 | 16 008 | 79 615 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 0.2 |
| July | 49 963 | 13 991 | 15 968 | 79 922 | 0.5 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 |
| August | 50 194 | 14 131 | 15 951 | 80 276 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 |
| September | 50 440 | 14 327 | 15 963 | 80 730 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| October | 50 855 | 14 562 | 16 033 | 81 450 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| November | 51 448 | 14 820 | 16 194 | 82 462 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| December | 52 100 | 15 087 | 16 438 | 83 625 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 52 723 | 15 327 | 16 749 | 84 799 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| February | 53 198 | 15 548 | 17 077 | 85 823 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| March | 53 482 | 15 758 | 17 385 | 86 625 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| April | 53 645 | 15 959 | 17 637 | 87 241 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
|
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) |
|
Original |
|
2006 | February | 24 495 | 19 979 | 16 452 | 5 085 | 8 165 | 1 373 | 731 | 1 166 | 77 446 |
| March | 27 165 | 21 461 | 19 833 | 5 195 | 9 750 | 1 540 | 913 | 1 299 | 87 156 |
| April | 21 171 | 17 636 | 14 820 | 4 619 | 7 507 | 1 129 | 764 | 1 004 | 68 650 |
| May | 25 124 | 20 776 | 18 774 | 5 601 | 9 472 | 1 623 | 863 | 1 224 | 83 457 |
| June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 |
| October | 24 379 | 20 785 | 16 625 | 4 781 | 9 591 | 1 797 | 762 | 1 210 | 79 930 |
| November | 25 418 | 20 739 | 18 076 | 5 116 | 9 972 | 1 973 | 733 | 1 270 | 83 297 |
| December | 22 927 | 19 790 | 16 551 | 4 700 | 9 471 | 1 748 | 688 | 1 188 | 77 063 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 24 429 | 19 000 | 16 769 | 4 620 | 8 929 | 1 285 | 651 | 1 253 | 76 936 |
| February | 25 636 | 21 510 | 18 221 | 5 138 | 9 625 | 1 463 | 771 | 1 376 | 83 740 |
| March | 29 107 | 23 408 | 21 772 | 5 588 | 10 530 | 1 533 | 978 | 1 476 | 94 392 |
| April | 23 245 | 18 833 | 16 907 | 4 616 | 8 701 | 1 214 | 883 | 1 215 | 75 614 |
|
Seasonally adjusted |
|
2006 | February | 24 982 | 20 646 | 17 256 | 5 187 | 8 525 | 1 611 | 791 | 1 190 | 80 188 |
| March | 24 343 | 19 772 | 17 400 | 4 897 | 8 772 | 1 583 | 776 | 1 202 | 78 745 |
| April | 24 169 | 20 601 | 17 376 | 5 280 | 8 851 | 1 515 | 745 | 1 191 | 79 728 |
| May | 23 915 | 20 111 | 17 771 | 5 227 | 9 244 | 1 606 | 740 | 1 149 | 79 763 |
| June | 24 100 | 19 413 | 17 512 | 5 048 | 9 076 | 1 703 | 759 | 1 236 | 78 847 |
| July | 24 262 | 20 509 | 18 333 | 5 121 | 9 493 | 1 520 | 743 | 1 170 | 81 151 |
| August | 23 892 | 20 286 | 17 241 | 4 921 | 9 509 | 1 417 | 797 | 1 193 | 79 256 |
| September | 24 754 | 20 795 | 17 547 | 5 034 | 9 658 | 1 682 | 766 | 1 245 | 81 481 |
| October | 25 124 | 20 504 | 17 888 | 4 903 | 9 652 | 1 670 | 834 | 1 215 | 81 790 |
| November | 24 800 | 19 946 | 18 400 | 4 954 | 9 597 | 1 623 | 765 | 1 269 | 81 354 |
| December | 25 068 | 20 380 | 18 571 | 4 849 | 9 823 | 1 408 | 802 | 1 254 | 82 155 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 26 698 | 21 774 | 19 029 | 5 411 | 9 967 | 1 562 | 840 | 1 334 | 86 615 |
| February | 25 976 | 22 159 | 19 105 | 5 236 | 10 062 | 1 716 | 830 | 1 398 | 86 482 |
| March | 26 700 | 21 939 | 19 593 | 5 280 | 9 766 | 1 609 | 832 | 1 389 | 87 108 |
| April | 26 453 | 21 281 | 19 292 | 5 228 | 10 038 | 1 563 | 849 | 1 407 | 86 111 |
|
Trend |
|
2006 | February | 24 666 | 20 695 | 17 445 | 5 190 | 8 727 | 1 572 | 771 | 1 199 | 80 265 |
| March | 24 511 | 20 383 | 17 486 | 5 164 | 8 795 | 1 586 | 768 | 1 196 | 79 889 |
| April | 24 291 | 20 135 | 17 547 | 5 144 | 8 909 | 1 589 | 761 | 1 191 | 79 567 |
| May | 24 099 | 20 036 | 17 589 | 5 124 | 9 064 | 1 579 | 754 | 1 187 | 79 432 |
| June | 24 050 | 20 090 | 17 621 | 5 101 | 9 236 | 1 576 | 754 | 1 187 | 79 615 |
| July | 24 111 | 20 182 | 17 651 | 5 058 | 9 385 | 1 581 | 761 | 1 193 | 79 922 |
| August | 24 277 | 20 242 | 17 696 | 5 003 | 9 499 | 1 584 | 772 | 1 203 | 80 276 |
| September | 24 513 | 20 303 | 17 786 | 4 957 | 9 591 | 1 581 | 784 | 1 215 | 80 730 |
| October | 24 815 | 20 433 | 17 972 | 4 951 | 9 672 | 1 580 | 793 | 1 234 | 81 450 |
| November | 25 169 | 20 657 | 18 255 | 4 995 | 9 744 | 1 581 | 802 | 1 259 | 82 462 |
| December | 25 540 | 20 933 | 18 587 | 5 066 | 9 810 | 1 585 | 812 | 1 292 | 83 625 |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 25 894 | 21 249 | 18 905 | 5 146 | 9 871 | 1 587 | 820 | 1 327 | 84 799 |
| February | 26 205 | 21 542 | 19 159 | 5 214 | 9 924 | 1 590 | 829 | 1 360 | 85 823 |
| March | 26 457 | 21 759 | 19 357 | 5 267 | 9 965 | 1 594 | 838 | 1 388 | 86 625 |
| April | 26 655 | 21 924 | 19 494 | 5 310 | 9 998 | 1 602 | 844 | 1 414 | 87 241 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. |